Here are my bracket projections of the 2012-13 season, updated as of Wednesday, March 13.
A conference in parentheses next to a team indicates that team is projected to win its conference’s automatic bid.
Here are the automatic bids that have already been determined: Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Harvard (Ivy), Liberty (Big South), Creighton (Missouri Valley), James Madison (CAA), Iona (MAAC), Davidson (SoCon), Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), Gonzaga (WCC), LIU-Brooklyn (NEC), Valparaiso (Horizon), and South Dakota State (Summit).
With the 68-team format, there are four play-in games. There will be two play-in games for the bottom four at-large teams, and two play-in games for conference tournament winners who earned automatic bids.
In this bracket, the winner of the East Region plays the winner of the South Region, and the winner of the Midwest Region plays the winner of the West Region.
No. 1 Duke vs. No. 16 Liberty (Big South)/Southern (SWAC)
No. 8 Illinois vs. No. 9 San Diego State
No. 5 Saint Louis (A10) vs. No. 12 Kentucky
No. 4 Marquette vs. No. 13 Davidson (SoCon)
No. 6 Notre Dame vs. No. 11 Belmont (OVC)
No. 3 Michigan vs. No. 14 Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun)
No. 7 Creighton (MVC) vs. No. 10 Colorado
No. 2 Miami (ACC) vs. No. 15 Iona (MAAC)
No. 1 Louisville vs. No. 16 Norfolk State (MEAC)
No. 8 Oregon vs. No. 9 Wichita State
No. 5 Butler vs. No. 12 Valparaiso (Horizon)
No. 4 Ohio State vs. No. 13 Louisiana Tech (WAC)
No. 6 UNLV vs. No. 11 Villanova
No. 3 Florida (SEC) vs. No. 14 Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
No. 7 UCLA (Pac12) vs. No. 10 Cincinnati
No. 2 Kansas (Big 12) vs. No. 15 James Madison (CAA)
Salt Lake City
No. 1 Gonzaga (WCC) vs. No. 16 W. Kentucky (Sun Belt)/LIU-Brooklyn (NEC)
No. 8 North Carolina vs. No. 9 Minnesota
No. 5 Pittsburgh vs. No. 12 Bucknell (Patriot)
No. 4 Arizona vs. No. 13 Boise State/Iowa State
No. 6 VCU vs. No. 11 Oklahoma
No. 3 Michigan State vs. No. 14 South Dakota State (Summit)
No. 7 Missouri vs. No. 10 Temple
No. 2 New Mexico (MWC) vs. No. 15 Montana (Big Sky)
No. 1 Indiana (Big Ten) vs. No. 16 Long Beach State (Big West)
No. 8 Memphis (C-USA) vs. No. 9 NC State
Salt Lake City
No. 5 Syracuse vs. No. 12 La Salle/Tennessee
No. 4 Oklahoma State vs. No. 13 Akron (MAC)
No. 6 Wisconsin vs. No. 11 St. Mary’s
No. 3 Kansas State vs. No. 14 Harvard (Ivy)
No. 7 Colorado State vs. No. 10 California
No. 2 Georgetown (Big East) vs. No. 15 Vermont (A-East)
Last Four In: La Salle, Tennessee, Boise State, Iowa State
First Five Out: Virginia, Middle Tennessee, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Iowa